Rep. Gerry Connolly, a long-standing Democratic member of the House from Virginia, has announced he will not seek reelection in the 2026 elections following a recurring cancer diagnosis. This decision comes as a significant setback for Democrats who are already bracing for a tough battle to reclaim control of the House.
Connolly, who has represented Virginia's 11th Congressional District for more than two decades, revealed his cancer diagnosis six months ago. In a heartfelt letter to his supporters, he expressed his appreciation for the support he received during his treatment. Despite initial success in his health battle, the cancer has returned, prompting his decision to retire. "The sun is setting on my time in public service, and this will be my last term in Congress," Connolly wrote, as reported by Trending Politics.
While Connolly's seat has been a stronghold for Democrats, with the district rated D+18 by the Cook Political Report, the political dynamics in Virginia have shifted. The resurgence of Republicans under Gov. Glenn Youngkin has injected new energy into the GOP, potentially leading to a more competitive race for the district in 2026. This could force the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee to allocate resources to a district they had previously considered safe.
Furthermore, demographic changes in the D.C. metro area may alter the landscape. The exodus of federal workers dismissed during the Trump administration has changed the population of the region, potentially opening doors for a Republican contender. These changes come amid a series of retirements from veteran Democrats, including Illinois Sen. Dick Durbin, adding to the uncertainty for the party.
Within the Democratic ranks, some are stepping away, like Rep. Jan Schakowsky after 15 terms, while others like Reps. Angie Craig and Kristen McDonald Rivet are considering Senate runs. With these shifts and the tight race predicted for control of the House, both parties are gearing up for what promises to be a highly contested 2026 election.
