In a move reflecting a cautious approach to foreign intervention, President Donald Trump has decided to postpone a critical decision about joining Israel’s military offensive against Iran for up to two weeks. This delay comes as sources within the administration disclose Trump's apprehensions about instigating a chaotic scenario similar to the one that unfolded in Libya after the ousting of Muammar Gaddafi in 2011.
This hesitation was confirmed by three individuals with intimate knowledge of the ongoing high-level discussions regarding the U.S. stance on Iran. These insiders have noted the President's consistent references to the North African nation as a cautionary example of the unintended consequences of military intervention.
The White House press secretary, Karoline Leavitt, informed the public on Thursday that President Trump is seeking additional time to deliberate, citing potential diplomatic negotiations with Iran as a contributing factor. This comes ahead of international talks slated for Friday in Geneva, Switzerland, where Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi is expected to engage with representatives from the UK, France, Germany, and the EU.
Despite these diplomatic efforts, skepticism remains within the administration about Iran's sincerity in reaching a peaceful resolution. According to Leavitt, Trump's special envoy Steve Witkoff will not be present at the Geneva meetings but will continue separate discussions with Iranian officials via intermediaries.
The President's cautious stance was further illuminated by reports of his expressions of concern over the situation in Iran potentially mirroring Libya's prolonged chaos. Sources indicate that these apprehensions have been persistent throughout the current crisis.
Trump's contemplation of history extends beyond Libya. He has also considered the long-term ramifications of military actions in Afghanistan and Iraq when examining potential strategies against Iran's theocratic regime. According to a report by the New York Post, the President seems inclined towards executing precise, limited airstrikes using powerful "bunker buster" bombs against Iran's key nuclear sites.
The prospect of using such formidable munitions underscores the President's preference for targeted actions rather than a broad campaign. These advanced weapons, designed to penetrate fortified underground facilities, would significantly impair Iran's uranium enrichment capabilities without necessarily aiming for regime change—a distinction emphasized by sources close to Trump.
As the administration weighs its options, the President's historical reflections signal his awareness of the complexities associated with regime change operations and their potential to exceed initial objectives.
