A recently declassified intelligence report has ignited controversy by indicating that the Biden administration might have exaggerated the domestic terrorism threat level in the aftermath of the January 6 Capitol riot. This report, made public in April, was a product of the Joint Analytic Cell on Domestic Violent Extremism, comprising the FBI, the Department of Homeland Security (DHS), and the National Counterterrorism Center.
The report's release, facilitated by Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, provides a detailed account of domestic terrorism cases in 2021. It revealed a striking detail: 61 percent of investigations and 78 percent of arrests during that year were directly connected to the events of January 6. Out of the FBI's 2,950 domestic terrorism investigations initiated in 2021, nearly 1,800 stemmed from the Capitol riot. This marked a significant increase from the approximately 1,400 investigations earlier that year.
However, when excluding cases related to the Capitol riot, the number of terrorism cases exhibited a decline compared to 2020, according to Just the News. This pattern also extended to arrests, which surged from 180 in fiscal year 2020 to nearly 800 in 2021. Yet, most of these arrests were not indicative of a broad escalation across ideologies or regions but were tied to the Capitol riot.
The Biden administration began shaping its national security policies shortly after entering office. In early 2021, then-Press Secretary Jen Psaki cited the Capitol attack as evidence of a pressing domestic terror threat, leading to the introduction of a National Strategy for Countering Domestic Terrorism in June 2021. This strategy leaned heavily on the events of January 6 as its foundation.
Internal criticism emerged with whistleblower complaints from within the FBI, disclosed by the House Judiciary Committee and its Weaponization of the Federal Government Subcommittee in May 2023. Whistleblowers alleged that agents were compelled to open cases on nearly every Capitol protester, which were then distributed among field offices nationwide. This strategy was said to create an illusion of a widespread wave of violent extremism, as opposed to numerous investigations stemming from a single incident.
Congressional testimony in 2022 and 2023 from FBI and DHS officials reported significant increases in domestic terrorism investigations but failed to clarify that the surge predominantly came from January 6 cases. This omission has contributed to the perception of a rapidly escalating threat of homegrown extremism.
Critics now argue that the Biden administration leveraged the Capitol riot to gain political momentum for expanding federal powers and funding under the guise of counterterrorism. With the intelligence documents now in the public domain, questions arise about whether the administration's actions were based on a truly expanding threat or were largely driven by a singular high-profile event.